Research factsheet28 September 2026
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ZPHRAIMXZephyr Energy PLC
Half-year Report · RNS 5296W · 28 September 2026

Zephyr swings to H1 profit on higher output, but cash falls to US$2.0m

Share price2.9p
Market cap£60.9m
52-week range2.2p – 4.34p
Shares in issue2100.7m
12-month change-3.3%
Ticker Data API, as at 5 Nov 2026, 16:18

Share price, 12 months

2.5p3p3.5p4p Announcement, 28 September 2026Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26Jun 26Aug 26Oct 26

Summary

Zephyr Energy's interim results today showed revenue up to US$10.8 million for the six months to 30 June 2026, from US$6.3 million, with a net profit of US$1.9 million against a US$13 million loss a year earlier. Output from its non-operated wells beat management's forecasts. The profit was helped by one-off gains, while operating cash flow was negative and cash fell to US$2.0 million against gross borrowings of US$22.7 million. At its Utah Paradox gas project, Zephyr has roughly doubled its acreage and passed a key pipeline inspection. It cannot give a timetable for the pipeline owner's regulatory approval, and its proposed US$15 million pre-production financing from Atlas Oil is still under negotiation.

Key figures

FigureValuePeriodChange
RevenueUS$10.8 millionH1 2026H1 2025: US$6.3 million
Net profit after taxUS$1.9 millionH1 2026H1 2025: net loss of US$13 million
Average production (non-operated)921 boepdH1 2026H1 2025: 693 boepd
Net cash from operating activitiesUS$(1,359)kH1 2026H1 2025: US$2,173k generated
Cash and cash equivalentsUS$2.0 million30 June 202630 June 2025: US$5.8 million; 31 Dec 2025: US$2,986k
Gross borrowingsUS$22.7 million30 June 202630 June 2025: US$23.4 million
Borrowings due within one yearUS$15,648k30 June 2026
FIBT valuation of non-operated production baseUS$43 millionAugust 2026
Share price3.00p-9.94% on the day
Sources: Half-year Report RNS, 28 Sep 2026; Condensed consolidated cash flow statement, Half-year Report, 28 Sep 2026; Condensed consolidated balance sheet, Half-year Report, 28 Sep 2026; Ticker price data

The announcement

Against guidance

Non-operated production exceeded management's forecasts. The Atlas Oil letter of intent announced on 27 July 2026 said a binding agreement was expected in the third or early fourth quarter of 2026. Today's report says only that negotiations are continuing, with updates in due course. The report gives no timetable for Enbridge's regulatory approval or for first commercial gas, which the company says remains its priority 'as soon as possible'. The FIBT revolving credit facility is due on 16 December 2026, and the company expects it to be extended for a year, in line with the bank's past practice.

Bull case

  • The Paradox project offers scale: about 70,000 gross operated acres and 35.3 million boe of 2P (proved and probable) reserves in the White Sands Unit, with the pipeline inspection completed and processing capacity being designed for up to 15 mmscf/d.
  • Non-operated production is running ahead of forecast. The lender's reaffirmed facilities and higher oil prices could lift second-half cash flow, although part of the oil output is hedged.
  • If a binding, non-dilutive Atlas agreement closes on reasonable terms and pipeline approval follows, the more growth-minded committee members argue the market could re-rate a company valued at about £63m.

Bear case

  • Funding is not yet secured. The Atlas prepayment is still non-binding, and a commodity prepayment brings forward future production income rather than proving the project is profitable.
  • The balance sheet is thin. Cash is small against borrowings with a large amount due within a year, and operating cash flow has been weak, so a discounted share placing remains a risk if financing or rollover slips.
  • The shares are illiquid, trading about £66k a day. The technical view noted that each positive announcement since July has been sold into, even as oil rose.
  • Paradox economics depend on US gas prices, where the macro view pointed to forecasts of record supply. Oil's recent geopolitical premium may also fade.

What to watch

This research is produced by Ticker using automated analysis of company announcements, filings and market data. It is for information only, is not personal advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and may contain errors. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The value of investments can fall as well as rise. Market data from Ticker's Data API as at 5 Nov 2026, 16:18.